Bitcoin prices have been range-bound and consolidating for quite some time but jumped over 9% in the last 24 hours after Elon Musk’s tweet on Sunday. A number of crypto analysts are still unsure about bitcoin’s future price while a few expect a rebound from last month’s lows. One market report notes that bitcoin will likely climb back up “the stock to flow line in the coming months” leading to a price of around $85K before the year’s end.
Financial Analyst: Bitcoin Will Likely Cross the Psychological $40K Threshold Again
Elon Musk’s tweet — that said Tesla would accept bitcoin again if the energy used to process transactions was at least 50% renewables — lifted bitcoin’s (BTC) price over 9% as the crypto asset neared the $40K range again. Alex Kuptsikevich, Fxpro senior financial analyst explained in a note to Bitcoin.com News that there’s been a lot of newfound excitement in the world of cryptocurrency lately.
“The crypto market is experiencing another phase of excitement following the positive decision by El Salvador’s parliament to include Bitcoin in the country’s official options of payment,” Kuptsikevich stressed in his note. “It is hard to underestimate this precedent on a global scale, which is why we are now witnessing such strong positive price momentum. Investors, who until recently had been putting off their purchases, are entering the market.” Kuptsikevich continued by adding:
Over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin has been adding 13% and changing hands for $39,500. Thus, the benchmark cryptocurrency is once again trying to rush the $40K threshold. The success of this test of local highs will define the short-term prospects of the crypto market as a whole. The total capitalization of cryptocurrencies in the last 24 hours increased by $126 billion. It is very likely that if the threshold is successfully overcome, we will see a new buying momentum, which will push the first cryptocurrency to the area of $42-$44K.
Decentrader Analysis: ‘New All-Time Highs for Bitcoin Before the End of This Year’
Another market update authored by Decentrader sees the leading crypto asset attempting to turn things around. There’s also a chance BTC could smash new all-time highs this year according to Decentrader’s analysis coupled with the stock-to-flow (S2F) price model.
“The fact that price has now spent several weeks below the 200DMA is not a bullish sign,” Decentrader’s analysis notes. “However, [closing] above the 200DMA and 128DMA would bring a lot of confidence back into the market,” Decentrader researcher Philip Swift added.
Decentrader leverages a few indicators like SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio), an Active Addresses Sentiment Indicator, and stock-to-flow (S2F) divergence. What is interesting about Stock to Flow right now is how far price has moved away from the Stock to Flow line.
“Price has only ever been this far below S2F line four times before in Bitcoin’s history,” explains Decentrader researcher Philip Swift. “I have highlighted these instances with orange arrows,” he explains.
“The divergence tool at the bottom of the Stock to Flow chart shows the extent to which price is moving either side of the stock to flow level. On the chart [above] we see price is trending below the stock to flow line and has only ever been this far away from it four times previously in Bitcoin’s entire history,” Swift explained.
The Decentrader researcher Swift highlighted that after each time in 2012, 2013, and 2017 the price of BTC rebounded remarkably from significant drops to rise back to the S2F level. “The last time was in the 2017 bull run when price was at $1,900 before rallying up to $5000 in the following 6 weeks,” Swift said. The Decentrader analyst insists:
While we may not rally so hard and fast this time, fundamentally nothing has changed with how Bitcoin works, nothing is broken, we are just experiencing a lot of bad media coverage after a strong rally at the start of the year. So we may well see price make its way back up to the stock to flow line in the coming months. This would mean new all-time highs for BTC before the end of this year, as the Stock to Flow line is currently sitting at $85,000.
Delta Exchange CEO: ‘Bitcoin’s Options Market Shows a 30% Chance of BTC Closing at $50K by the End of July’
Decentrader’s and Kuptsikevich’s BTC price outlook is a lot different than those who are feeling bearish about crypto markets. Investment bank JPMorgan Chase and its group of analysts think that a bearish price breakdown could be in bitcoin’s future. Researchers at JPMorgan Chase noted “an unusual development and a reflection of how weak bitcoin demand is at the moment from institutional investors.” In another report, JPMorgan noted that “similarly situated, smaller nations,” may follow El Salvador’s trend.
Pankaj Balani, CEO of Delta Exchange explained to Bitcoin.com in an investor’s note that bitcoin’s options market shows a 30% chance of BTC closing at $50K by the end of July.
“After a volatile week, Bitcoin has bounced back and is trading close to $39,500 on the spot. Market sentiment remains cautious as traders continue to pay a premium for downside protection on the monthly and quarterly maturities,” Balani said. “On the weekly and bi-weekly maturities though, the Call IVs have started to rise and approach those of Puts. Options market is pricing close to a 30% chance that Bitcoin will be close to $50,000 by the end of July and a 15% chance that it will be close to $30,000 for the same maturity,” Balani added.
What do you think about the recent bitcoin market outlook from the analysts monitoring these crypto markets? Do you envision bitcoin rebounding back to all-time highs again? Let us know what you think about this subject in the comments section below.